Saturday, November 20, 2021

How to fix government (2)

On Quora the following question was asked:
Updated 2021.
Now I've  already had one go at re-organizing government (See How to fix the mess the government is in) but recognize that it will never happen because politicians would have to put it into practice and would be unlikely to vote themselves out of office. So here's my second attempt at designing a sensible form of government.
Most of the issues in politics are caused by a two party system and can be attributed to a ‘first past the post’ election system. It inevitably produces results where the majority are dissatisfied. Take as an example the 2016 UK referendum on the UK leaving the European Community - BREXIT. According to the poll result 52% voted to leave and 48% voted to stay. That seems to imply that there was a narrow majority in favour of leaving. In practice a significant number of voters didn’t vote at all. The reality is that 37% of the electorate voted for BREXIT and 67% either voted to stay or didn’t care about the result. 37% is hardly a majority.
The same is true of General elections. In the 2017 election 42.4% of voters elected a Conservative Member of Parliament (nearest US equivalent would be ‘Republican’) but 68.7% of the electorate bothered to vote. That means that the Conservatives who eventually formed a government did so with just 29.1% support from the electorate. Both sides feel 'the other lot' don't deserve to be there and spend all their time arguing and trying to score points off each other.
The results didn't change dramatically in the 2019 election. 43.6% voted for the Conservatives led by Boris Johnson and 32.2% voted for the Labour party. Only 66.8% of the electorate voted though so the Conservatives won with the support of 29.1% of the electorate.
In the US the political system is complicated by an apparently inexplicable ‘Electorial College’ system which might once have had meaning but now means a voter in one area has more impact than a voter in a different area. In the last Presidential election:
Clinton received 65,844,610 votes, or 48.2% of the total vote.
Trump received 62,979,636 votes, or 46.1% of the total vote.
58% voted so in practice Trump now represents 28% of US voters.
Added to the controversy are claims of voters not being able to be able to vote due to lack of proof of eligibility.
Again in 2020 there was little change except a far greater percentage of the electorate voted this time. There was a 66.7% turnout and the vote share was 51.3% for Biden and 48.7% for Trump. Taking non-voters into account Biden represents 34.2% of the US electorate.
Who actually chooses the candidates? Certainly not the people. Corporate sponsors choose candidates for Congress and Senate in the US. In the UK anyone may stand for an election if they meet the citizenship or residence requirements but a fee of £500 is demanded to discourage those who stand little chance of election. Without the means to fund a campaign any candidate stands little chance. In the US religion plays a big part too with the odds stacked heavily against declared atheists. It has been said that to be elected in the US you must be either stupid or a liar. (i.e. not stupid enough to say you are an atheist).
So how can we improve things? Here’s my suggestions:
  • Use a proportionate representation election system. That’s where you rate the candidates in the order of your choice.
  • Offer a ‘Non of the Above’ choice on the ballots. That way the eventual winner would get a clear indication of how much he/she truly represents the electorate.
  • Follow the UK system for standing for office. That means:
    • You must be a citizen or citizen of a dependency who does not require leave to enter or remain in the country, or has indefinite leave to remain in the country
    • Must not be members of the police forces
    • Must not be members of the armed forces
    • Must not be Civil servants, judges or others who sit and can vote in an unelected house of representatives
    • Must not be subject to a bankruptcy restrictions order or a debt relief restrictions order
  • In addition candidates must pay a registration fee equivalent to 2% of their last available tax year income with a limitation that that income must be published within the last five years.
  • Any citizen or person who has had indefinite leave to remain in the country for the last two years may vote.
  • If you don't vote then a half vote should be awarded to the current incumbent or if that person isn't standing the person chosen by a nominated successor. If you don't like that - then vote.
  • Voting should be done electronically, securely and via Internet or at a public library with Internet access. A voter card should be mailed to electors prior to elections OR a valid photo ID may be used to enter the voting system.
  • Elected representatives must first have a duty to represent their electorate before any duty to a political party. Any elector has the right to gather support to make the views of the electorate known to their representative.
  • No lobby may offer any incentive to any candidate or representative. Doing so should be punishable by law as bribery and penalties should be severe. Lobbies may offer a contribution to a central fund for the benefit of the poor in a representatives area but that fund must not be controlled by the representative or his/her family.
  • If a representative is found to have lied to or misled the population or governing body then at the next election they or their nominated successor should have 2% of their votes in the next election shared amongst other candidates. This measure should encourage honesty and fact checking in representatives. (Had this been in force in the current Parliament, Boris Johnson, the UK Prime Minister, would have lost his constituency majority after making 14 misleading statements in Parliament.)
  • No religion may be involved in government in any way either as candidates or as influences in elections. However religion may gather support to make their views known to representatives.
  • Representatives should have a primary duty to represent the interests of their constituents rather than the wishes of a party.
  • In representative bodies the rule should be that no law with less than 75% support in that body should be passed. If a law cannot gather that level of support it is a bad law.
  • Representatives should not argue against any proposal unless they can offer an improved proposal.
  • Indirect taxation should be weighted to 'wants' rather than 'needs'. The poor shouldn't be forced to pay extra for the things they have to buy - housing, food, utilities, basic clothing.
  • Any laws which affect the available income of the electorate should be applied on a percentage basis of elector’s income but should not be applied to those deemed in poverty. This means a 5% tax would not apply to those in poverty. A $5 reduction of income to someone with $100 is disastrous and has a much greater effect to the poor than a $5,000 cut in income to someone with $100,000

  • Government may act immediately in defence of the nation BUT any decision to take aggressive action outside the nation's borders must require a referendum of the people.

2 comments:

  1. An update on the current governments of the UK and US
    • In the 2016 US election president Trump gained the support of 46.1% of the US electorate. There was a 55.7% turnout so that means he was elected with the support of 25.7% of the electorate.
    • In the 2019 UK election Boris Johnson's Conservative government was elected with the support of 43.6% of the electorate. There was a 66.8% turnout so that means he had the support of 29.1% of the electorate.
    In the US 2016 election the eventual winner was not decided by those who voted for Trump but by those who decided that they didn't want to vote for Clinton. The same is likely to occur in the 2020 election with the result depending on those voters disillusioned with their own party's choice of candidate.
    The same will hold true for the next UK election in 2024 (if the current government lasts that long.)

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  2. A further update 2024
    In the 2020 US election Biden received 51.3% of the vote and Trump received 48.7% There was a 66.7% turnout, much higher than 2016's 55.7% turnout and indicating a much higher level of political dissatisfaction. The winner, Biden, represents 34.2% of the electorate. Trump, the loser, represents 31.2% Trump claimed that he really won the election but if that were true then 3% of the electorate (7.2 million) votes would have had to go astray. There was no evidence of any such figure. I suspect that Trump has an ability to stir up strong feelings in the electorate which accounts for the higher turnout in 2020 and will probably mean an even higher turnout in November 2024.
    In the UK 2024 election the Labour Party won 33.7% of votes (412 seats & 20.13% of the electorate) The Conservative vote plumeted to 23.7% of votes (121 seats & 14.16% of the electorate). Other parties got a total of 117 seats. It's noteable that despite winning a huge majority, support for the labout party dropped by 9.01% since 2019. Clearly this indicates the current system doesn't work!

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